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Yes it’s that time kiddos. Pit your bit of prognostication power against that of the Mega Minds of Blue vs Blue. Join our BLUE vs BLUE group at ESPN and make your picks. (if not registered at ESPN site, the Mothership will force you to do that before you can join)

Group Name: Blue vs Blue

Password: bluevsblue

Please keep in mind – only ONE entry per person. You are welcome to fill out more than one, but only the first entry listed will be scored.

The REASON you should join us, is our scoring system is just plain better than anyone else out there. Check it out:

I always thought it was bunk that picking straight chalk should be worth the same as having the cahones to, say, pick VCU into the Final Four last year. So over the years we’ve worked out a system that is perhaps our greatest contribution to mankind. And it’s the reason our bracket challenge is better than everyone else’s: not every winner is weighted the same. We reward people for correctly picking upsets, or more precisely for picking teams that perform better than their seed would indicate. Here’s how it works: [click to continue…]

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If, before this season began, Duke fans had been able to get a glimpse of the current state of the team purely in numerical terms, they’d probably have to feel good about where they sit: finishing second in the ACC, #5 in the RPI, a top-10 offense (according to Ken Pomery’s rankings), and most crucially, a number 2 seed in the NCAA tournament. However, the reality of the situation is that the Devils are widely regarded (by both media and fans making their bracket picks, I would guess) to be the weakest of the 2-seeds and limped their way through the ACC tournament looking like a much less potent offensive team without Ryan Kelly, who at his best can be a matchup nightmare as Duke’s “Stretch 4″ but provides Duke with about as much reliable defense as the team ballboys do. Already looking vulnerable, the selection committee clearly sensed blood in the water and surrounded Duke not only with teams that are fully capable of beating them, but have a delightful media-friendly dose of history between them.

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The West Region: It looks Best from this Nest

by Alex Smith on March 13, 2012

I love my Bracket, I love my Nest, in all the world the West is Best!

Ah the West. So peaceful. So serene. So many under-seeded teams.

It’s funny to me that the committee probably did the right thing out west but with some crooked logic. Michigan State got the last #1 by winning the toughest conference’s tourney (while sharing reg season). When I saw the bracket I thought they correctly chose the best #2 seed (30 win Mizzou) to fill in with them. According to the selection brain trust, however, the Tigers were #8 on the S Curve (um aren’t you kids getting a little carried away with this non-conference SOS stuff…). So how they thought the ‘worst’ #1 and the ‘worst’ #2 should go in the same bracket we shall never know. (just exactly how BYU got in the dance with their conference commissioner on the committee is not a mystery though) At any rate, the West Region looks stacked to my mind; especially with so many teams that look stronger than their seeding number (Murray St, Memphis, UVA, Florida).

Readers of this blog likely remember the Spartans as inept offensive team that looked over-matched on an aircraft carrier and not much better  as they scored 8 points in 10 1/2 minutes to open the second half giving up win #903 to Coach K. It seemed people were correct in leaving them off the pre-season top 25.  If not for that pesky Tom Izzo guy, we might have been right. [click to continue…]

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So, all I’m hearing since the selection committee finished up is how Syracuse is on serious upset alert. It seems everyone and their sketchy uncle’s pet ferret is picking someone other than the Orange to come out of this region, in a tournament that seems otherwise to be about as chalky as it gets in terms of prognosticating. Is it their lack of success in the tourney historically ( only 2 times past the Sweet 16 since 1990. This keeps blowing my mind, incidentally)? Is it their much discussed inability to protect the defensive glass ( 341 out of 345 Div. 1 teams in Defensive Rebounding %)? Their not-overly-impressive schedule ( only 5 wins over currently ranked teams, and those by an average of 5 points)? Is it Boeheim’s perpetual lemon-sucking hangdog expression ( and who could blame him after the off-the-court year he’s had)? Whatever the case, this might be the least trusted 1-seed with only two losses ( and one of those was without their starting center, mind) in the history of the 64 -team field. Just remember kids, if you’re 30-2 and you do something as poorly as Syracuse defensively rebounds, you must do some other stuff really f-ing well. In this case, it’s defense ( +6 TO margin, 17.8 ppg off of turnovers and the number 2 FG% defense in conference play) and shooting ( first in FG% the Big East). This is a really good team folks, make no mistake, and they have the potential to go very far. Or not. [click to continue…]

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Episode 18: Save us unto Madness!

by zeke smith on March 13, 2012

Question: How does a fan base get over a tough tournament loss? Answer: Have an even bigger and better tournament less than a week later. Both Duke and Carolina fell to the angry Seminole warpath (is that too un-PC?) this past weekend in hard fought games. Congratulations to FSU, but the sting won’t last long in Tobacco Road because ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls it’s finally here! The Best Weekend in Sports has come to temporarily cripple work-time productivity and allow millions of tax free dollars to change hands illegally. Listen in as Blue vs Blue weighs in about the weekend that was, and more importantly the weekend to come!

 

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Episode 17: So, What Did We Learn?

by zeke smith on March 8, 2012

Five days later the sting of the Tar Heel beat down in Cameron still lingers on for the navy blue contingent of the Blue vs Blue podcast. It was the game (and the result) that everyone was expecting a few weeks ago in Chapel Hill. But just because it was what most people expected doesn’t mean the Carolina contingent didn’t find reasons to crow during the recap. There’s also time to talk about the ACC tournament and post-season ACC awards so join us once again won’t you.

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Episode 16: The Hate Before the Storm

by zeke smith on March 2, 2012

It’s a special edition preview podcast from Blue vs Blue before the tip off of Saturday night’s Rumble in the Gothic Jungle. We spend the entire episode looking ahead to the big game that will decide the ACC regular season title, bragging rights for the next 7 days, and whether there will be more on-campus arrests in Durham or Chapel Hill late Saturday. There is hard hitting analysis, with our version of crazy prop bets, final predictions, and fun lists we each created of the most hated rival players of the last 20 years. Have a listen to get your hate-motor revved up. And, as always, we welcome your thoughts via phone (919-213-1920), email (info@bluevsblue.com), twitter (@bluevsblue) or carrier pigeon. To the victors goes the ACC Title!

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Episode 15: Rounding into Form

by zeke smith on February 27, 2012

As we round the corner for rivalry round 2, the Blue vs Blue brain trust looks back at an undefeated week for Tobacco Road. Duke beat down BC, came out firing to finish FSU and hung on against the Hokies. UNC meanwhile employed the Marshall Plan against Mark Gottfried and gutted out a gruesome game against the Cavaliers thanks to the play of the “Ga-Zeller”. (please hold your applause for the awesome amalgamation of alliteration; it’s all in a days work here at BvB) There is also time to discuss ACC-related postseason awards, since most of the discussion of the big match-up in Cameron will be saved for a special mid-week preview podcast coming soon. (imagine three grown men opting for delayed gratification) Feel free to weigh in at the BvB Voicemail number: 919-213-1920, to leave your thoughts about this weeks sparkling edition, or about the big game coming this Saturday.

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Episode 14: The Rule of Threes

by zeke smith on February 19, 2012

Blue vs Blue examines the week’s three games as Carolina learns the importance of actually making threes, and Duke uses some clutch outside shooting to complete a huge comeback against NC State. Zeke talks about the hot and cold of Harrison Barnes and incredible shrinking bench of the Tar Heels, while Bart and Alex chime in about the hot and cold of the Blue Devil’s execution and the incredible shrinking production of Duke’s big men. We dare to gaze again into the mind of Dick Vitale in the latest iteration of Dick’s Degrees of Separation, as well as our new segment called What’s That Stat - a funny and insightful look inside the numbers. Join the three of us, won’t you?

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I’ve just had enough.

All day long I’ve been subjected the apoplectic ravings of disconsolate State fans ( and Carolina fans for that matter) and various hosts on sports radio and elsewhere, decrying how the grossly unfair and biased nature of the foul calls in the Duke game last night was the cause of Wolfpack’s epically egregious  loss. Yup, that’s right, folks!  It’s time for the “Duke Gets All the Calls” idiot parade to come tooting their sad and tired little trumpets down main street. The certifiable ones insisted that State actually leave the conference because they were never going to get ” fair officiating” with Duke and Carolina around, even though the number of fouls called in this game was effectively even ( 24 for State and 21 for Duke, and mind you 2 of those State fouls were of the “intentional” end-of-game variety). The marginally sane insisted that it wasn’t the number of fouls but the distribution of them that was unfair, as though the officials were somehow looking to call more fouls on State starters than Duke starters. See, somehow the refs were able to accurately assess that Ryan and Andre were not as important to the Duke cause as C.J. Leslie and Richard Howell are to the Pack cause ( despite the fact that Ryan Kelly, though not a starter last night, averages more points per game than Mason Plumlee and that Duke changes it’s starting lineup almost every single game ) and therefore chose to distribute the Duke fouls to the “less important” players while doing the opposite for State. Yeah. Uh huh.The almost reasonable ones still had to mention how Coach K  “worked the refs” as though a) it’s against the rules and b) no other coach in America would think of doing such a thing and c) this always sways them to see his point of view.

I thought Coach K said it best after the Duke loss to Indiana in the Final Four in 2002. At the end of that game Carlos Boozer was absolutely mauled after grabbing a missed free throw and should have been going to the line to shoot for the win, but no call was made, causing Matt Christensen to have to be physically restrained ( which was no small task). When asked about the impact of that call on the outcome of the game, Coach K responded by saying, essentially, that it demeans the game of basketball to reduce wins and losses to a call (or calls) made or not made. In other words, as a team you have to be good enough in all of the areas of the game that you can control so that you can overcome things that you can’t , like calls that don’t go your way. In other other words, even when the officiating completely and blatantly screws your team over for some other team that they have an inexplicably deep seated fondness and bias for (read : Duke as far as the rest of the country is concerned) you can’t blame the officiating. Why ? Because then you don’t own the mistakes that YOU MADE which put you in a position for those “bad calls” to have an appreciable impact. You don’t get better as a team or smarter or more respectable as a fan base when you conclude that the ultimate reason you lost was somebody else’s fault !!

Was the officiating last night terrible? Absofreakinlutely. But that door swung both ways the entire game, as was obvious to even a marginally savvy basketball-watching eye. Was the second half called differently than the first? Again, yes, largely because Duke came out of the locker room playing much more physically and aggressively on both ends. They set a particular tone with their play which caused the already suspect group of officials to go into ticky-tack mode. Given State’s lack of bench, this impacted them more than it impacted Duke. So, if a State fan wants to claim that the shift in the manner in which the game was called was harder for the Wolfpack to handle than Duke, I can live with that. But the loss itself is far more attributable to the Pack’s failure to deal with the shift than the shift itself. And none of this even takes into account the actual reasons they lost : the slew of bad shots they took, the missed free throws, the good Duke defense and the great play of Curry and Rivers.

And so  good sports fans, I adjure you one and all,  please hold your crazy at bay, your stupid conspiratorial insinuations in check, and your teams ( whoever they may be) more accountable than the refs who preside over their games.

Good night and good luck.

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